VALE
StockVale S.A.
One email when a drop — in price or in valuation — is historically rare for VALE. Otherwise we stay quiet.
Bigger than its usual dip. Not yet rare.
Vale S.A. is 18.1% off its high — deeper than its 6.7% average pullback, but it has been through 96 drawdowns before. Not historically significant yet — we'll say so if that changes.
Valuation is notable too — P/S Severity Score 2.4, below its typical range.
Elevated
Current Drawdown
-18.1%
Days in Drawdown
83
Avg Max Drawdown
6.7%
Avg Length
90
Drawdown Severity Score™
3.3
VALE - Price & High Water Mark
VALE - Drawdown Timeline
How to read this chart: Negative values indicate drawdowns from all-time highs. Values closer to 0% mean the stock is near its high water mark.
Valuation vs Its Own History
Data as of July 10, 2026 · updated daily
Where today's valuation sits within VALE's own multi-year range, scored with the same Drawdown Severity Score language as price, measured from its typical level rather than its record high — a higher score means it has rarely been cheaper. This is context, not a recommendation.
Price to Sales
Vale S.A. has been cheaper on this measure only about 35% of the time in 20 years of daily history.
Price to Sales history
EV to EBITDA
Vale S.A. has been cheaper on this measure only about 36% of the time in 20 years of daily history.
EV to EBITDA history · log scale
Vale S.A. (VALE) Analysis: Current Drawdown Insights
Vale S.A. is currently in a drawdown that is unusual by its own historical standards. As of 2026-07-14, the stock is trading at $14.59, which represents a 18.1% decline from its all-time high of $17.82. This drawdown has persisted for 83 days.
Based on its full tracked price history, Vale S.A. typically experiences drawdowns averaging 6.7% in depth, with an average duration of 90 days. Vale S.A. has gone through 96 total drawdown events in its tracked history. The largest drawdown on record for Vale S.A. was 93.2%, beginning in 2008. The longest drawdown duration on record was 6463 days.
The Drawdown Severity Score™ for Vale S.A. currently stands at 3.26. This is our proprietary indicator that shows the relative severity of the current drawdown based on the asset's unique historical patterns. A score between 3.0 and 5.0 indicates an elevated drawdown that's larger than this asset's historical averages.
Understanding Drawdowns: A drawdown measures how far a stock has fallen from its peak price. Every stock experiences drawdowns: periods when the price declines from all-time highs before recovering. By analyzing Vale S.A.'s historical drawdown patterns, investors can identify when the stock is experiencing a typical market fluctuation versus an unusual decline that is rare by that stock's own historical standards.
📜 Historical Drawdown Events
Current drawdown shown in blue. Showing the most recent and the deepest of 96 tracked pullbacks (58 listed).
| Start Date | End Date | Duration | Max Depth | Start Price | Lowest Price | Recovery Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Ongoing | 83 days | -18.1% | $17.82 | $14.59 | n/a |
| 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-17 | 3 days | -1.4% | $17.68 | $17.43 | $17.78 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-04-14 | 47 days | -19.9% | $17.53 | $14.05 | $17.68 |
| 2026-02-12 | 2026-02-25 | 14 days | -8.5% | $17.38 | $15.90 | $17.53 |
| 2026-02-05 | 2026-02-11 | 7 days | -4.4% | $17.03 | $16.28 | $17.38 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-03 | 5 days | -5.1% | $16.94 | $16.07 | $17.00 |
| 2008-05-19 | 2026-01-27 | 6463 days | -93.2% | $16.42 | $1.12 | $16.44 |
| 2008-05-14 | 2008-05-15 | 2 days | -1.0% | $15.30 | $15.14 | $15.78 |
| 2008-05-07 | 2008-05-13 | 7 days | -4.5% | $15.29 | $14.60 | $15.30 |
| 2008-04-23 | 2008-05-02 | 10 days | -6.9% | $14.79 | $13.77 | $14.92 |
| 2008-04-18 | 2008-04-21 | 4 days | -0.1% | $14.20 | $14.18 | $14.67 |
| 2007-11-07 | 2008-04-16 | 161 days | -29.6% | $14.01 | $9.86 | $14.16 |
| 2007-11-01 | 2007-11-06 | 6 days | -5.7% | $13.99 | $13.19 | $14.01 |
| 2007-10-30 | 2007-10-31 | 2 days | -1.9% | $13.80 | $13.54 | $13.99 |
| 2007-10-02 | 2007-10-29 | 28 days | -11.3% | $13.35 | $11.84 | $13.80 |
| 2007-09-28 | 2007-10-01 | 4 days | -0.1% | $12.55 | $12.53 | $13.35 |
| 2007-09-14 | 2007-09-18 | 5 days | -2.1% | $10.16 | $9.95 | $10.94 |
| 2007-07-24 | 2007-09-13 | 52 days | -28.0% | $9.81 | $7.06 | $10.16 |
| 2007-07-13 | 2007-07-23 | 11 days | -2.9% | $9.66 | $9.38 | $9.81 |
| 2007-07-10 | 2007-07-11 | 2 days | -1.5% | $8.97 | $8.84 | $9.12 |
| 2007-06-19 | 2007-07-06 | 18 days | -8.2% | $8.78 | $8.06 | $8.87 |
| 2007-06-05 | 2007-06-18 | 14 days | -8.4% | $8.70 | $7.97 | $8.78 |
| 2007-05-17 | 2007-05-31 | 15 days | -7.2% | $8.38 | $7.78 | $8.40 |
| 2007-05-10 | 2007-05-16 | 7 days | -2.9% | $8.26 | $8.02 | $8.38 |
| 2007-05-07 | 2007-05-09 | 3 days | -2.2% | $8.11 | $7.93 | $8.26 |
| 2007-04-26 | 2007-05-03 | 8 days | -5.1% | $7.84 | $7.44 | $7.90 |
| 2007-04-24 | 2007-04-25 | 2 days | -0.3% | $7.76 | $7.73 | $7.84 |
| 2007-04-18 | 2007-04-23 | 6 days | -1.7% | $7.72 | $7.59 | $7.76 |
| 2007-04-11 | 2007-04-12 | 2 days | -0.2% | $7.38 | $7.37 | $7.50 |
| 2007-03-27 | 2007-04-03 | 8 days | -4.2% | $6.89 | $6.60 | $7.11 |
| 2007-03-22 | 2007-03-26 | 5 days | -0.4% | $6.80 | $6.77 | $6.89 |
| 2007-02-23 | 2007-03-21 | 26 days | -14.2% | $6.80 | $5.84 | $6.80 |
| 2007-02-16 | 2007-02-20 | 5 days | -0.6% | $6.62 | $6.58 | $6.66 |
| 2007-02-07 | 2007-02-13 | 7 days | -4.8% | $6.35 | $6.04 | $6.41 |
| 2007-02-02 | 2007-02-06 | 5 days | -0.2% | $6.25 | $6.23 | $6.35 |
| 2007-01-25 | 2007-01-31 | 7 days | -3.0% | $6.13 | $5.95 | $6.22 |
| 2006-12-28 | 2007-01-22 | 26 days | -9.3% | $5.56 | $5.04 | $5.61 |
| 2006-12-15 | 2006-12-27 | 13 days | -3.2% | $5.50 | $5.32 | $5.56 |
| 2006-12-06 | 2006-12-14 | 9 days | -2.4% | $5.46 | $5.33 | $5.50 |
| 2006-05-10 | 2006-12-05 | 210 days | -32.1% | $5.27 | $3.58 | $5.46 |
| 2006-05-03 | 2006-05-04 | 2 days | -1.0% | $4.92 | $4.87 | $4.96 |
| 2006-04-27 | 2006-05-01 | 5 days | -2.5% | $4.69 | $4.57 | $4.80 |
| 2006-04-24 | 2006-04-26 | 3 days | -1.0% | $4.69 | $4.64 | $4.69 |
| 2006-02-01 | 2006-04-21 | 79 days | -17.5% | $4.59 | $3.79 | $4.69 |
| 2006-01-20 | 2006-01-26 | 7 days | -3.1% | $4.30 | $4.16 | $4.45 |
| 2006-01-13 | 2006-01-19 | 7 days | -3.2% | $4.26 | $4.13 | $4.30 |
| 2006-01-10 | 2006-01-11 | 2 days | -0.2% | $4.09 | $4.08 | $4.14 |
| 2005-12-05 | 2006-01-09 | 36 days | -11.0% | $4.04 | $3.59 | $4.09 |
| 2005-11-28 | 2005-12-01 | 4 days | -2.8% | $4.00 | $3.89 | $4.03 |
| 2005-09-30 | 2005-11-25 | 57 days | -16.2% | $3.94 | $3.30 | $4.00 |
| 2005-09-27 | 2005-09-28 | 2 days | -0.7% | $3.86 | $3.84 | $3.88 |
| 2005-02-25 | 2005-09-06 | 193 days | -28.8% | $3.17 | $2.25 | $3.20 |
| 2005-01-03 | 2005-01-14 | 12 days | -10.2% | $2.51 | $2.26 | $2.52 |
| 2004-10-06 | 2004-11-12 | 38 days | -12.1% | $2.00 | $1.76 | $2.09 |
| 2004-01-06 | 2004-09-17 | 255 days | -31.9% | $1.75 | $1.19 | $1.75 |
| 2003-10-15 | 2003-12-04 | 51 days | -10.8% | $1.31 | $1.17 | $1.33 |
| 2003-03-04 | 2003-05-12 | 69 days | -8.6% | $0.78 | $0.72 | $0.79 |
| 2003-01-08 | 2003-02-11 | 35 days | -11.8% | $0.77 | $0.68 | $0.78 |
| 2002-06-04 | 2003-01-07 | 218 days | -27.5% | $0.77 | $0.56 | $0.77 |
How to read: Each row shows a complete drawdown from peak to recovery. Red rows = most severe drawdowns (worst 20% or 5x+ average), yellow rows = moderate (2x-5x worse than average).
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Or explore current drawdowns:
Vale S.A. (VALE) is trading at $14.59 as of Jul 14, 2026. It is 18.1% below its high of $17.82. The drawdown has lasted 83 days. Severity score: 3.3 (Elevated).
VALE Price History and Drawdown Data
Latest price
$14.59
High-water mark
$17.82
Current drawdown
-18.1%
Days in drawdown
83
This VALE page is built around daily price history, the latest high-water mark, current drawdown depth, drawdown duration, and comparable historical drawdown events. The chart above provides the price-history context, while the sections below explain how the current move compares with prior Vale S.A. drawdowns.
What History Says About VALE
Vale S.A. has dropped 15%+ from its high 10 times in its tracked history. These events lasted an average of 774 days with an average max drop of -32.5%.
The current drawdown of -18.1% has lasted 83 days, which is within the typical range for comparable events.
| Period | Max Drop | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| May 2008 to Jan 2026 | -93.2% | 6463 days |
| May 2006 to Dec 2006 | -32.1% | 210 days |
| Jan 2004 to Sep 2004 | -31.9% | 255 days |
| Nov 2007 to Apr 2008 | -29.6% | 161 days |
| Feb 2005 to Sep 2005 | -28.8% | 193 days |
| Jul 2007 to Sep 2007 | -28.0% | 52 days |
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Vale Is Down 13% in 41 Days. What History Says Now
Jun 18, 2026 · 9 min read
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VALE's 12% Pullback: Historical Context
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