Daily market check
Stocks are off their highs. Worth a look — not yet rare.
Tech is 9.4% below its high — deeper than a routine dip, but declines like this are common. We'll say so, loudly, if this becomes historically significant. The exception is crypto: Bitcoin is 42.7% and Ethereum is 58.3% below their peaks — rare even by their standards.
Individual names in rare territory right now:
NVDA-31%NVIDIA CorporationRare
GOOGL-26%Alphabet Inc.Rare
TQQQ-31%ProShares UltraPro QQQRare
AXON-65%Axon Enterprise, Inc.Very rare
GOOG-26%Alphabet Inc.Rare
HOOD-47%Robinhood Markets, Inc.Rare
INTC-57%Intel CorporationVery rare
VST-38%Vistra Corp.Rare
VRT-44%Vertiv Holdings CoVery rare
ARM-55%Arm Holdings plcVery rare
DVA-28%DaVita Inc.Rare
CAT-43%Caterpillar Inc.Very rarePut the market on autopilot.
Make a list of stocks you want to own. We watch every name on your list, every day. When Mr. Market puts one on sale, we wake you. The rest of the time, we stay quiet.
…or check one of your stocks
How It Works
Make Your Shopping List
Pick the stocks, ETFs, and crypto you want to buy. Pick them calmly, on a normal day. Set your list once. That is your only job.
Put the Market on Autopilot
We watch your list so you don't have to. Most days do not matter, and we stay silent on those days. No daily checking. No noise. Stay rested and clear, like a pilot on autopilot.
Wake Up When a Day Matters
A few days a year, a stock falls further than it almost ever falls. That day, we send one alert. You take control, fully awake, and shop your list. That is the day to look closely at your list, rested and clear, and decide for yourself.
See an Example: Apple Inc. (AAPL)
24/7 monitoring. Alerts on historically rare discounts. Like Google Flights for stocks.
Your Inbox
All clear - no alerts yet
Alerts will appear here when opportunities arise
Why DrawdownAlerts?
Stop Watching the Market
Set your list once, tune out the noise — we compare every decline to decades of its own history and speak up only when it's rare.
Learn More →Track Stock Prices Like Flight Prices
If you use Google Flights to monitor airfare prices, you'll get this immediately. Same approach for stocks.
Learn More →Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful
Warren Buffett's philosophy, automated. Get alerts when the market panics and prices on quality companies fall unusually far.
Learn More →Set It and Forget It
Too busy to watch the market? Add your stocks once, we monitor forever. Get alerts only when a rare decline appears.
Learn More →40 Years of Historical Data
Make decisions based on decades of price patterns, not emotions. Our algorithm identifies statistically rare drawdowns.
Learn More →Sleep Well During Selloffs
We watch 24/7 and stay quiet unless a decline is historically rare — so you can sleep peacefully and stay focused on life.
Learn More →Loading stock examples...
Every great investor buys the dip.
Every once in a while, the market offers unusual prices on the stocks and crypto you follow. Set your alerts, tune out the noise, and get woken up only when a decline is rare by historical standards.
Start Your Shopping List
Add the stocks you want to buy. We'll alert you when they're on sale.
Get Started FreeWhat our past alerts actually did
Every past Strong Buy and Ultra Buy alert, the ones that lost money included, measured to today and compared with simply holding the S&P 500.
Alerts
1,140
707 tickers since 2016
Median return
+84%
S&P 500 median: +111%
Average return
+204%
S&P 500 average: +141%
Beat the S&P 500
43%
487 of 1,140
Down today
277
24% of all alerts
Best
+4,537%
NVDA, Nov 19, 2018
Worst
-100%
VS, Jul 19, 2021
Held 365+ days
+115%
median of 991 alerts; 41% beat the S&P 500
Prices through Nov 12, 2026. Simulated from our published thresholds. Past results do not predict future results.
Information, not investment advice. Simulated from our published alert thresholds, not emails actually sent. Past results do not predict future results.
"The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient."
Warren Buffett
Latest from the Blog
FVUB.L's 25% Pullback: Historical Context
FVUB.L moved from green to yellow; drawdown was 25% after 25 days. Review event-time severity and historical context.
OKTA's 29% Pullback: Historical Context
OKTA moved from yellow to red; drawdown was 29% after 2049 days. Review event-time severity and historical context.
ODFL's 30% Pullback: Historical Context
ODFL moved from yellow to red; drawdown was 30% after 108 days. Review event-time severity and historical context.
What is the Drawdown Severity Score™?
The Drawdown Severity Score™ is a proprietary calculation that measures how unusual or severe the current drawdown is for a particular asset compared to its own historical patterns. Unlike simple percentage drops, this indicator contextualizes the current situation within decades of price history.
The Drawdown Severity Score™ directly maps to our 12-level status system with three main zones (0-2 green, 2-5 yellow, 5+ red):
Green Zone (0-2): Normal / Healthy
At All-Time High
Drawdown Severity Score™: 0
The asset is exactly at its all-time high price. Zero drawdown, strongest possible position.
Near All-Time High
Drawdown Severity Score™: 0 - 0.2
Very close to all-time high. Minor pullback within normal volatility.
Typical
Drawdown Severity Score™: 0.2 - 1
Normal market fluctuation within expected historical range. Nothing unusual happening.
Slightly Elevated
Drawdown Severity Score™: 1 - 2
Starting to exceed typical range slightly. Still within green zone.
Yellow Zone (2-5): Elevated / Significant
Moderately Elevated
Drawdown Severity Score™: 2 - 3
Exceeding normal range. Worth monitoring.
Elevated
Drawdown Severity Score™: 3 - 4
Noticeably elevated relative to history. Attention recommended. Default watch-level alert threshold (3.0).
Significant
Drawdown Severity Score™: 4 - 5
Unusually large for this asset. Approaching severe territory.
Red Zone (5+): Severe / Rare
Strong
Drawdown Severity Score™: 5 - 6.5
Rare drawdown depth for this asset. Default alert threshold (5.0).
Very Strong
Drawdown Severity Score™: 6.5 - 8
Very rare drawdown depth for this asset. Reached only a handful of times in its history.
Very Large
Drawdown Severity Score™: 8 - 10
Extremely rare; this asset almost never falls this far. Default high-severity alert threshold (8.0).
Extreme
Drawdown Severity Score™: 10 - 12
Among the deepest declines in this asset's recorded history. Typically seen only in crisis periods.
Historic
Drawdown Severity Score™: 12+
Historically unprecedented for this asset. Once-in-a-decade depth. Thorough research essential.
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