Market check · July 7, 2026
Nothing unusual is happening in stocks.
The S&P 500 is 1.8% below its all-time high — a typical week. The exception is crypto: Bitcoin is 49.1% and Ethereum is 63.1% below their peaks — rare even by their standards.
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Get alerts when your stocks and crypto hit historically rare declines according to our proprietary Drawdown Severity Score™ indicator.
See an Example: Apple Inc. (AAPL)
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Every great investor buys the dip.
Every once in a while, the market offers unusual prices on the stocks and crypto you follow. Set your alerts, tune out the noise, and get woken up only when a decline is rare by historical standards.
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Latest from the Blog
PLPC Is Down 18%. What History Says About This Drop
Preformed Line Products Company (PLPC) has a Drawdown Severity Score of 2.9. Historically, similar drops took an average of 637 days to recover.
PLXS's 15% Pullback: Historical Context
PLXS moved from green to yellow; drawdown was 15% after 6 days. Review event-time severity and historical context.
PRU Recovers: How This Drawdown Compares to Its Past
PRU moved from yellow to green; the drawdown has eased to 6% after 512 days. Review event-time severity and historical context.
What is the Drawdown Severity Score™?
The Drawdown Severity Score™ is a proprietary calculation that measures how unusual or severe the current drawdown is for a particular asset compared to its own historical patterns. Unlike simple percentage drops, this indicator contextualizes the current situation within decades of price history.
The Drawdown Severity Score™ directly maps to our 12-level status system with three main zones (0-2 green, 2-5 yellow, 5+ red):
Green Zone (0-2): Normal / Healthy
At All-Time High
Drawdown Severity Score™: 0
The asset is exactly at its all-time high price. Zero drawdown, strongest possible position.
Near All-Time High
Drawdown Severity Score™: 0 - 0.2
Very close to all-time high. Minor pullback within normal volatility.
Typical
Drawdown Severity Score™: 0.2 - 1
Normal market fluctuation within expected historical range. Nothing unusual happening.
Slightly Elevated
Drawdown Severity Score™: 1 - 2
Starting to exceed typical range slightly. Still within green zone.
Yellow Zone (2-5): Elevated / Significant
Moderately Elevated
Drawdown Severity Score™: 2 - 3
Exceeding normal range. Worth monitoring.
Elevated
Drawdown Severity Score™: 3 - 4
Noticeably elevated relative to history. Attention recommended. Default watch-level alert threshold (3.0).
Significant
Drawdown Severity Score™: 4 - 5
Unusually large for this asset. Approaching severe territory.
Red Zone (5+): Severe / Rare
Strong
Drawdown Severity Score™: 5 - 6.5
Rare drawdown depth for this asset. Default alert threshold (5.0).
Very Strong
Drawdown Severity Score™: 6.5 - 8
Very rare drawdown depth for this asset. Reached only a handful of times in its history.
Very Large
Drawdown Severity Score™: 8 - 10
Extremely rare; this asset almost never falls this far. Default high-severity alert threshold (8.0).
Extreme
Drawdown Severity Score™: 10 - 12
Among the deepest declines in this asset's recorded history. Typically seen only in crisis periods.
Historic
Drawdown Severity Score™: 12+
Historically unprecedented for this asset. Once-in-a-decade depth. Thorough research essential.
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