Every Major Gold Drawdown Since 2008
Gold's most recent drawdown β a sharp pullback from the January 2026 all-time high above $5,589/oz to a March 2026 low near $4,170/oz, roughly a 25% decline β is not included as a row below because it has not yet recovered to a new high. It is covered in the "Where is gold right now?" section above and in the Key Observations below. The table covers every completed (fully recovered) gold drawdown of 15% or more from a prior high since 2008, tracked via GLD (SPDR Gold Shares ETF), the closest continuously-traded proxy for gold spot prices.
| Event | Start | End | Depth | Duration | Recovery | Severity Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 Financial Crisis Crash | Mar 2008 | Oct 2008 | ~-30% | ~213 days | ~4 months | 5.4 |
| 2011-2015 Secular Bear Market | Sep 2011 | Dec 2015 | ~-45% | ~4.3 years | ~4.7 years | 6.8 |
| 2020-2022 Rate-Hike Correction | Aug 2020 | Oct 2022 | ~-20% | ~26 months | ~14 months | 4.0 |
Conventions: Depth is the peak-to-trough decline on closing prices of GLD (SPDR Gold Shares ETF), the closest continuously-traded proxy for gold spot prices. Duration is the number of calendar days from the peak to the trough. Recovery is measured from the trough until gold closed above the prior peak again (not from the peak). Severity scores are retroactive estimates using DrawdownAlerts' methodology and are not directly comparable across eras or assets, because each asset's historical baseline evolves over time.
GLD launched in November 2004; figures for the 2008 crisis and later are based on gold spot prices, which GLD tracks closely (before its own fund fees and expenses). Dates and depths marked with "~" are approximate, cross-checked against public sources but subject to some variation depending on whether spot, futures, or GLD share prices are used.
Key Observations
- -Gold's worst drawdown took nearly nine years to fully recover. The 2011-2015 secular bear market erased about 45% of gold's value from its September 2011 peak, and gold did not close at a new all-time high again until August 2020 β by far the longest recovery of any event in this dataset.
- -Gold is in a new, still-open drawdown as of 2026. After a 65%+ rally through 2025 and into a January 28, 2026 all-time high above $5,589/oz, gold fell sharply in March 2026 β its steepest monthly drop in more than 17 years β to an intra-year low near $4,170/oz, a decline of roughly 25% in about two months. That drawdown has not yet recovered to a new all-time high.
- -Gold's crashes are faster than its bear markets. The 2008 financial crisis crash cut gold's price by roughly 30% in about seven months and fully recovered in around four months, a sharp but short-lived panic tied to a broader liquidity crunch. The 2011-2015 and 2020-2022 declines, by contrast, were slower, multi-year grinds tied to real interest rates and the strength of the dollar.
- -Recoveries have historically taken far longer than the declines themselves. In every completed event in this dataset, the time to recover from the trough back to a new high exceeded the time it took to fall to that trough β most dramatically in 2011-2015, where a roughly 4.3-year decline was followed by a roughly 4.7-year recovery.
How to Read This Table
Event: The commonly used name for the drawdown or the macro/monetary-policy event that triggered it.
Start: The approximate month gold began declining from its prior peak.
End: The approximate month gold reached the trough (lowest point) of the drawdown.
Depth: The maximum percentage decline from the peak to the trough.
Duration: The number of calendar days from the start of the decline to the trough.
Recovery: The time from the trough until gold closed above the prior peak again. Note this is measured from the trough, not from the peak.
Severity Score: An estimated Drawdown Severity Score based on DrawdownAlerts' methodology, which considers both depth and duration relative to historical norms. Higher scores indicate more extreme, statistically rare drawdowns.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the worst gold (GLD) drawdown in history?
The worst completed gold drawdown on record is the 2011-2015 secular bear market: gold peaked near $1,921/oz in September 2011, then fell roughly 45% to about $1,050/oz by December 2015 as the Federal Reserve prepared to raise interest rates for the first time since the financial crisis. It took until August 2020 β nearly nine years after the 2011 peak β for gold to close at a new all-time high, making this both the deepest and by far the longest drawdown in the modern gold market. View the current GLD drawdown status.
Is gold in a drawdown right now, in 2026?
Yes. Gold hit an all-time high above $5,589/oz on January 28, 2026, then fell sharply in March 2026 amid a stronger dollar and fading rate-cut expectations, touching an intra-year low near $4,170/oz β its steepest monthly drop in more than 17 years. As of this writing gold remains well below its January 2026 peak, meaning that drawdown is still open and has not yet recovered to a new all-time high.
How does the 2026 gold correction compare to the 2011-2015 bear market?
The 2026 correction is sharper but, so far, far shorter: it took roughly two months to fall about 25% from the January 2026 peak to the March 2026 low, versus more than four years for gold to fall 45% from its 2011 peak to its 2015 low. Whether 2026 becomes a brief correction within a longer bull run or the start of a multi-year bear market like 2011-2015 will only be clear with time; the 2011-2015 episode is a reminder that gold's deepest drawdowns have historically taken years, not months, to fully recover.
Data based on GLD (SPDR Gold Shares ETF) daily closing prices, the closest live, continuously-updated proxy for gold spot prices on this site. Drawdown Severity Scores are estimated using DrawdownAlerts' methodology. Dates are approximate.
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