MSFT
StockMicrosoft Corporation
One email when a drop — in price or in valuation — is historically rare for MSFT. Otherwise we stay quiet.
Rare — pay attention.
Microsoft Corporation is 29% off its high, 257 days in — deeper than the vast majority of its 319 recorded drawdowns. This is the kind of decline the severity score exists to flag.
But down is not the same as cheap: Microsoft Corporation's P/S Severity Score is 0.0 — its valuation sits in or above its typical range.
Strong
Current Drawdown
-29.0%
Days in Drawdown
257
Avg Max Drawdown
4.6%
Avg Length
43
Drawdown Severity Score™
6.0
MSFT - Price & High Water Mark
MSFT - Drawdown Timeline
How to read this chart: Negative values indicate drawdowns from all-time highs. Values closer to 0% mean the stock is near its high water mark.
Valuation vs Its Own History
Data as of July 12, 2026 · updated daily
Where today's valuation sits within MSFT's own multi-year range, scored with the same Drawdown Severity Score language as price, measured from its typical level rather than its record high — a higher score means it has rarely been cheaper. This is context, not a recommendation.
Price to Sales
Microsoft Corporation has been cheaper on this measure only about 69% of the time in 20 years of daily history.
Price to Sales history
EV to EBITDA
Microsoft Corporation has been cheaper on this measure only about 42% of the time in 20 years of daily history.
EV to EBITDA history · log scale
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Analysis: Current Drawdown Insights
Microsoft Corporation is currently in a drawdown that is unusual by its own historical standards. As of 2026-07-14, the stock is trading at $384.93, which represents a 29.0% decline from its all-time high of $542.07. This drawdown has persisted for 257 days.
Based on its full tracked price history, Microsoft Corporation typically experiences drawdowns averaging 4.6% in depth, with an average duration of 43 days. Microsoft Corporation has gone through 319 total drawdown events in its tracked history. The largest drawdown on record for Microsoft Corporation was 69.4%, beginning in 1999. The longest drawdown duration on record was 5314 days.
The Drawdown Severity Score™ for Microsoft Corporation currently stands at 6.01. This is our proprietary indicator that shows the relative severity of the current drawdown based on the asset's unique historical patterns. A score between 5.0 and 8.0 indicates a rare, significant drawdown: the asset seldom sees declines at this level in its tracked history.
Understanding Drawdowns: A drawdown measures how far a stock has fallen from its peak price. Every stock experiences drawdowns: periods when the price declines from all-time highs before recovering. By analyzing Microsoft Corporation's historical drawdown patterns, investors can identify when the stock is experiencing a typical market fluctuation versus an unusual decline that is rare by that stock's own historical standards.
📜 Historical Drawdown Events
Current drawdown shown in blue. Showing the most recent and the deepest of 319 tracked pullbacks (68 listed).
| Start Date | End Date | Duration | Max Depth | Start Price | Lowest Price | Recovery Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | Ongoing | 257 days | -29.0% | $542.07 | $384.93 | n/a |
| 2025-08-05 | 2025-10-28 | 85 days | -7.4% | $534.76 | $495.00 | $542.07 |
| 2025-08-01 | 2025-08-04 | 4 days | -1.8% | $532.62 | $523.25 | $534.76 |
| 2025-07-28 | 2025-07-31 | 4 days | -0.2% | $512.87 | $511.66 | $532.62 |
| 2025-07-18 | 2025-07-25 | 8 days | -1.3% | $510.86 | $504.44 | $512.87 |
| 2025-07-16 | 2025-07-17 | 2 days | -0.0% | $504.99 | $504.79 | $510.86 |
| 2025-07-10 | 2025-07-15 | 6 days | -0.4% | $502.68 | $500.66 | $504.99 |
| 2025-07-07 | 2025-07-09 | 3 days | -0.4% | $498.02 | $495.80 | $502.68 |
| 2025-06-27 | 2025-07-03 | 7 days | -1.3% | $496.63 | $490.28 | $498.02 |
| 2025-06-20 | 2025-06-23 | 4 days | -0.6% | $479.45 | $476.62 | $485.20 |
| 2025-06-17 | 2025-06-18 | 2 days | -0.2% | $478.35 | $477.26 | $479.45 |
| 2025-06-13 | 2025-06-16 | 4 days | -0.8% | $478.08 | $474.18 | $478.35 |
| 2025-06-10 | 2025-06-12 | 3 days | -0.4% | $471.97 | $470.15 | $478.08 |
| 2024-07-08 | 2025-06-05 | 333 days | -23.7% | $463.24 | $353.33 | $466.91 |
| 2024-06-28 | 2024-07-01 | 4 days | -1.3% | $448.67 | $442.82 | $452.51 |
| 2024-06-24 | 2024-06-25 | 2 days | -0.5% | $445.63 | $443.53 | $446.78 |
| 2024-06-18 | 2024-06-21 | 4 days | -0.6% | $444.23 | $441.58 | $445.63 |
| 2024-05-23 | 2024-06-11 | 20 days | -3.9% | $426.54 | $409.70 | $428.68 |
| 2024-03-22 | 2024-05-21 | 61 days | -9.3% | $424.64 | $385.04 | $425.08 |
| 2024-03-15 | 2024-03-20 | 6 days | -2.1% | $420.53 | $411.83 | $420.54 |
| 2024-02-12 | 2024-03-14 | 31 days | -4.2% | $415.15 | $397.66 | $420.53 |
| 2024-02-05 | 2024-02-07 | 3 days | -1.4% | $405.94 | $400.28 | $408.73 |
| 2024-01-30 | 2024-02-02 | 4 days | -3.0% | $404.46 | $392.47 | $405.94 |
| 2024-01-26 | 2024-01-29 | 4 days | -0.2% | $399.67 | $398.74 | $404.46 |
| 2024-01-22 | 2024-01-23 | 2 days | -0.5% | $393.55 | $391.42 | $393.78 |
| 2024-01-17 | 2024-01-18 | 2 days | -0.2% | $385.26 | $384.47 | $388.81 |
| 2023-11-29 | 2024-01-10 | 43 days | -4.4% | $377.78 | $361.23 | $377.85 |
| 2023-11-24 | 2023-11-27 | 4 days | -0.1% | $373.00 | $372.58 | $373.75 |
| 2023-11-21 | 2023-11-22 | 2 days | -1.2% | $372.59 | $368.28 | $373.00 |
| 2023-11-17 | 2023-11-20 | 4 days | -1.7% | $371.34 | $365.10 | $372.59 |
| 2023-11-13 | 2023-11-14 | 2 days | -0.8% | $364.18 | $361.24 | $364.77 |
| 2023-11-09 | 2023-11-10 | 2 days | -0.7% | $357.81 | $355.34 | $364.18 |
| 2023-07-19 | 2023-11-07 | 112 days | -13.0% | $353.40 | $307.51 | $355.18 |
| 2023-06-16 | 2023-07-18 | 33 days | -5.6% | $342.21 | $323.04 | $353.40 |
| 2021-11-22 | 2023-06-15 | 570 days | -37.1% | $332.61 | $209.05 | $342.21 |
| 2021-11-09 | 2021-11-16 | 8 days | -1.8% | $326.08 | $320.09 | $328.52 |
| 2021-11-05 | 2021-11-08 | 4 days | -0.1% | $325.55 | $325.18 | $326.08 |
| 2021-11-01 | 2021-11-02 | 2 days | -0.7% | $320.88 | $318.71 | $322.34 |
| 2021-10-22 | 2021-10-27 | 6 days | -0.8% | $300.70 | $298.15 | $312.71 |
| 2021-10-20 | 2021-10-21 | 2 days | -0.3% | $298.25 | $297.46 | $300.70 |
| 2021-09-17 | 2021-10-18 | 32 days | -7.6% | $295.34 | $272.79 | $297.34 |
| 2021-08-24 | 2021-09-15 | 23 days | -2.9% | $294.79 | $286.14 | $294.95 |
| 2021-08-17 | 2021-08-19 | 3 days | -1.1% | $284.52 | $281.32 | $287.16 |
| 2021-07-26 | 2021-08-12 | 18 days | -1.7% | $279.76 | $275.07 | $279.89 |
| 2021-07-15 | 2021-07-22 | 8 days | -1.9% | $272.84 | $267.53 | $276.35 |
| 2021-07-08 | 2021-07-13 | 6 days | -0.9% | $270.35 | $267.83 | $271.36 |
| 2021-06-30 | 2021-07-01 | 2 days | -0.2% | $262.11 | $261.63 | $262.30 |
| 2021-06-25 | 2021-06-28 | 4 days | -0.6% | $257.56 | $255.95 | $259.52 |
| 2021-06-23 | 2021-06-24 | 2 days | -0.1% | $256.42 | $256.19 | $257.56 |
| 2021-04-28 | 2021-06-21 | 55 days | -8.8% | $252.42 | $230.29 | $253.64 |
| 2021-04-19 | 2021-04-23 | 5 days | -1.4% | $251.24 | $247.80 | $251.63 |
| 2020-02-11 | 2020-06-08 | 118 days | -28.0% | $179.50 | $129.17 | $180.17 |
| 2018-10-02 | 2019-03-15 | 165 days | -18.2% | $107.91 | $88.24 | $109.12 |
| 2014-11-14 | 2015-04-28 | 165 days | -18.1% | $42.10 | $34.50 | $42.28 |
| 1999-12-28 | 2014-07-16 | 5314 days | -69.4% | $36.45 | $11.16 | $37.18 |
| 1999-07-19 | 1999-12-15 | 150 days | -17.8% | $30.43 | $25.02 | $33.18 |
| 1999-04-06 | 1999-07-14 | 100 days | -19.7% | $29.05 | $23.33 | $29.05 |
| 1999-02-01 | 1999-03-25 | 53 days | -16.7% | $26.77 | $22.30 | $27.53 |
| 1998-07-20 | 1998-11-23 | 127 days | -22.7% | $18.04 | $13.95 | $18.24 |
| 1997-07-18 | 1998-02-02 | 200 days | -20.4% | $11.44 | $9.10 | $11.85 |
| 1995-07-18 | 1996-04-18 | 276 days | -26.4% | $4.17 | $3.07 | $4.17 |
| 1993-06-02 | 1994-05-13 | 346 days | -26.2% | $1.84 | $1.36 | $1.85 |
| 1992-11-23 | 1993-05-26 | 184 days | -19.2% | $1.82 | $1.47 | $1.82 |
| 1992-01-16 | 1992-10-19 | 277 days | -23.9% | $1.68 | $1.28 | $1.68 |
| 1991-04-16 | 1991-08-07 | 114 days | -18.6% | $0.97 | $0.79 | $0.97 |
| 1990-07-17 | 1991-01-16 | 184 days | -34.7% | $0.67 | $0.44 | $0.70 |
| 1987-10-06 | 1989-10-05 | 731 days | -50.3% | $0.34 | $0.17 | $0.34 |
| 1987-05-11 | 1987-09-28 | 141 days | -28.7% | $0.27 | $0.19 | $0.27 |
| 1986-06-02 | 1986-10-15 | 136 days | -22.9% | $0.07 | $0.06 | $0.07 |
How to read: Each row shows a complete drawdown from peak to recovery. Red rows = most severe drawdowns (worst 20% or 5x+ average), yellow rows = moderate (2x-5x worse than average).
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Or explore current drawdowns:
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is trading at $384.93 as of Jul 14, 2026. It is 29.0% below its high of $542.07. The drawdown has lasted 257 days. Severity score: 6.0 (Strong).
MSFT Price History and Drawdown Data
Latest price
$384.93
High-water mark
$542.07
Current drawdown
-29.0%
Days in drawdown
257
This MSFT page is built around daily price history, the latest high-water mark, current drawdown depth, drawdown duration, and comparable historical drawdown events. The chart above provides the price-history context, while the sections below explain how the current move compares with prior Microsoft Corporation drawdowns.
What History Says About MSFT
Microsoft Corporation has dropped 25%+ from its high 8 times in its tracked history. These events lasted an average of 960 days with an average max drop of -37.6%.
The current drawdown of -29.0% has lasted 257 days, which is within the typical range for comparable events.
| Period | Max Drop | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1999 to Jul 2014 | -69.4% | 5314 days |
| Oct 1987 to Oct 1989 | -50.3% | 731 days |
| Nov 2021 to Jun 2023 | -37.1% | 570 days |
| Jul 1990 to Jan 1991 | -34.7% | 184 days |
| May 1987 to Sep 1987 | -28.7% | 141 days |
| Feb 2020 to Jun 2020 | -28.0% | 118 days |
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