AA

Stock

Alcoa Corporation

One email when a drop — in price or in valuation — is historically rare for AA. Otherwise we stay quiet.

Very rare

This is the kind of decline worth waking up for.

Alcoa Corporation is 47.8% off its high — among the deepest declines in its recorded history.

But down is not the same as cheap: Alcoa Corporation's P/S Severity Score is 0.0 — its valuation sits in or above its typical range.

Price $49.04 · as of Jul 14, 2026All-time high $94.04Drawdown -47.8%Severity Score™ 8.3
🔴

Very Large

Current Drawdown

-47.8%

Days in Drawdown

6937

Avg Max Drawdown

7.4%

Avg Length

79

Drawdown Severity Score™

8.3

AA - Price & High Water Mark

AA - Drawdown Timeline

How to read this chart: Negative values indicate drawdowns from all-time highs. Values closer to 0% mean the stock is near its high water mark.

Valuation vs Its Own History

Data as of July 12, 2026 · updated daily

Where today's valuation sits within AA's own multi-year range, scored with the same Drawdown Severity Score language as price, measured from its typical level rather than its record high — a higher score means it has rarely been cheaper. This is context, not a recommendation.

Price to Sales

1.0xSeverity Score 0.0 · In or above its typical range
Low: 0.10xMedian: 0.60xHigh: 1.8x

Alcoa Corporation has been cheaper on this measure only about 93% of the time in 11 years of daily history.

42.0% below its highest Price to Sales reading · high date June 2, 2026

Price to Sales history

EV to EBITDA

12.5xSeverity Score 0.0 · In or above its typical range
Low: 1.3xMedian: 4.5xHigh: 20.8x

Alcoa Corporation has been cheaper on this measure only about 94% of the time in 11 years of daily history.

40.0% below its highest EV to EBITDA reading · high date June 2, 2026

EV to EBITDA history · log scale

How we measure valuation

Alcoa Corporation (AA) Analysis: Current Drawdown Insights

Alcoa Corporation is currently in a drawdown that is unusual by its own historical standards. As of 2026-07-14, the stock is trading at $49.04, which represents a 47.8% decline from its all-time high of $94.04. This drawdown has persisted for 6937 days.

Based on its full tracked price history, Alcoa Corporation typically experiences drawdowns averaging 7.4% in depth, with an average duration of 79 days. Alcoa Corporation has gone through 97 total drawdown events in its tracked history. The largest drawdown on record for Alcoa Corporation was 59.3%, beginning in 2001. The longest drawdown duration on record was 2193 days.

The Drawdown Severity Score™ for Alcoa Corporation currently stands at 8.32. This is our proprietary indicator that shows the relative severity of the current drawdown based on the asset's unique historical patterns. A score between 8.0 and 12.0 indicates an extremely rare, severe drawdown: the asset almost never experiences declines of this magnitude in its tracked history.

Understanding Drawdowns: A drawdown measures how far a stock has fallen from its peak price. Every stock experiences drawdowns: periods when the price declines from all-time highs before recovering. By analyzing Alcoa Corporation's historical drawdown patterns, investors can identify when the stock is experiencing a typical market fluctuation versus an unusual decline that is rare by that stock's own historical standards.

📜 Historical Drawdown Events

Current drawdown shown in blue. Showing the most recent and the deepest of 97 tracked pullbacks (59 listed).

Start DateEnd DateDurationMax DepthStart PriceLowest PriceRecovery Price
2007-07-17Ongoing6937 days-47.8%$94.04$49.04n/a
2007-07-102007-07-112 days-1.7%$84.13$82.74$84.26
2007-06-192007-07-0921 days-7.6%$83.17$76.86$84.13
2007-06-042007-06-1512 days-6.1%$82.34$77.31$82.62
2007-05-292007-05-302 days-1.3%$81.23$80.17$81.90
2007-05-242007-05-252 days-0.4%$80.17$79.86$81.23
2001-05-222007-05-232193 days-59.3%$79.17$32.20$80.17
2000-01-062001-05-15495 days-44.7%$73.30$40.52$73.30
2000-01-032000-01-053 days-2.5%$70.74$68.98$73.30
1999-12-301999-12-312 days-1.5%$69.68$68.66$70.74
1999-12-271999-12-282 days-1.3%$67.44$66.53$68.61
1999-12-161999-12-238 days-3.7%$67.33$64.83$67.44
1999-12-131999-12-153 days-1.6%$64.67$63.66$67.33
1999-12-081999-12-092 days-1.4%$62.06$61.17$62.54
1999-08-121999-12-02113 days-16.4%$58.93$49.27$59.18
1999-06-211999-08-1152 days-13.2%$57.21$49.64$58.93
1999-05-121999-06-1737 days-15.5%$55.09$46.57$57.05
1999-04-301999-05-1011 days-6.6%$54.59$50.96$55.09
1999-04-201999-04-278 days-3.8%$46.15$44.41$46.73
1999-04-161999-04-194 days-2.1%$45.42$44.47$46.15
1999-02-081999-04-1263 days-16.5%$37.77$31.54$38.03
1999-01-121999-02-0525 days-7.9%$37.03$34.12$37.77
1997-08-081999-01-11522 days-32.1%$36.58$24.83$37.03
1997-08-011997-08-077 days-1.4%$36.38$35.86$36.58
1997-07-291997-07-302 days-0.3%$35.48$35.38$36.15
1997-07-241997-07-285 days-1.2%$34.94$34.53$35.48
1997-07-181997-07-225 days-1.9%$33.89$33.24$34.22
1997-07-091997-07-168 days-3.4%$32.81$31.70$33.27
1997-07-031997-07-075 days-1.6%$32.16$31.65$32.16
1997-06-131997-07-0220 days-4.5%$31.96$30.52$32.16
1997-03-121997-06-1191 days-13.5%$31.13$26.93$31.50
1997-01-201997-03-1050 days-8.7%$29.80$27.20$30.67
1997-01-131997-01-164 days-0.7%$29.09$28.88$29.24
1997-01-061997-01-094 days-0.9%$27.76$27.50$28.42
1996-05-141997-01-03235 days-16.2%$26.79$22.44$27.76
1996-05-071996-05-137 days-2.1%$26.69$26.13$26.79
1996-04-111996-05-0626 days-5.6%$26.34$24.87$26.69
1996-03-291996-04-0911 days-6.2%$25.94$24.33$25.94
1996-03-191996-03-2810 days-2.8%$25.64$24.93$25.94
1996-03-141996-03-185 days-1.0%$24.83$24.58$25.64
1996-03-121996-03-132 days-0.2%$24.78$24.73$24.83
1995-09-131996-03-11181 days-19.0%$23.87$19.33$24.78
1995-08-231995-09-1120 days-4.8%$23.87$22.72$23.87
1995-08-181995-08-225 days-1.3%$23.52$23.22$23.87
1995-08-081995-08-169 days-3.3%$23.02$22.27$23.27
1995-07-171995-08-0722 days-5.5%$22.78$21.54$23.02
1995-07-101995-07-134 days-4.0%$22.28$21.39$22.58
1995-05-241995-06-3038 days-9.0%$19.35$17.61$19.95
1995-05-161995-05-227 days-3.7%$18.90$18.21$19.05
1995-05-041995-05-129 days-8.8%$18.16$16.56$18.55
1995-04-251995-05-039 days-4.7%$18.07$17.22$18.16
1994-10-211995-04-13175 days-16.6%$17.68$14.75$17.72
1994-02-101994-07-15155 days-19.3%$15.60$12.60$15.67
1992-06-041994-01-31607 days-23.1%$14.88$11.44$15.33
1992-03-041992-04-1340 days-9.7%$13.67$12.35$13.67
1989-10-091992-03-03877 days-32.7%$13.42$9.03$13.67
1989-02-021989-05-15102 days-11.0%$10.80$9.61$11.27
1987-10-061989-01-20473 days-46.7%$10.04$5.36$10.05
1987-08-041987-10-0563 days-15.0%$10.00$8.51$10.04
1986-03-171987-02-17338 days-26.4%$6.90$5.08$7.01

How to read: Each row shows a complete drawdown from peak to recovery. Red rows = most severe drawdowns (worst 20% or 5x+ average), yellow rows = moderate (2x-5x worse than average).

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Or explore current drawdowns:

Alcoa Corporation (AA) is trading at $49.04 as of Jul 14, 2026. It is 47.8% below its high of $94.04. The drawdown has lasted 6,937 days. Severity score: 8.3 (Very Large).

AA Price History and Drawdown Data

Latest price

$49.04

High-water mark

$94.04

Current drawdown

-47.8%

Days in drawdown

6,937

This AA page is built around daily price history, the latest high-water mark, current drawdown depth, drawdown duration, and comparable historical drawdown events. The chart above provides the price-history context, while the sections below explain how the current move compares with prior Alcoa Corporation drawdowns.

What History Says About AA

Alcoa Corporation has dropped 20%+ from its high 7 times in its tracked history. These events lasted an average of 786 days with an average max drop of -37.9%.

The current drawdown of -47.8% has lasted 6,937 days, which is 8.8x the average duration of comparable events.

PeriodMax DropDuration
May 2001 to May 2007-59.3%2193 days
Oct 1987 to Jan 1989-46.7%473 days
Jan 2000 to May 2001-44.7%495 days
Oct 1989 to Mar 1992-32.7%877 days
Aug 1997 to Jan 1999-32.1%522 days
Mar 1986 to Feb 1987-26.4%338 days

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