LyondellBasell Is Down 25%. What History Says Now.

LyondellBasell Has Been Falling for 727 Days. What History Says.

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) has entered the red zone as its current drawdown reached 25.2% as of May 26, 2026, marking a significant shift in the stock's risk profile. Our data shows the price has declined from an all-time high of $92.27 to a current level of $69.01, resulting in a Drawdown Severity Score™ of 5.0. This movement represents a transition from the yellow zone to the red zone, indicating that the current price action has surpassed standard volatility thresholds for this specific asset.

Understanding the Drawdown Severity Score™ Shift

The move to a Drawdown Severity Score™ of 5.0 is a data point that places the current sell-off in a high-intensity category relative to the stock's historical behavior. As of May 26, 2026, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) has spent 727 days in this drawdown cycle. This duration is notably longer than the average drawdown duration of 46 days recorded across the 106 total historical drawdown events we have tracked for this ticker.

A severity score of 5.0 in the red zone means the magnitude and duration of the current decline are now statistically heavy. While the stock previously sat in the yellow zone, the continuation of the price slide to $69.01 has pushed the internal metrics into a state of heightened drawdown. Our data indicates that the current 25.2% decline is more than five times the average max drawdown of 5.0% observed in the stock's trading history.

Historical Context of Major Declines

To understand the current 25.2% drawdown, we must look at how LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) has behaved during previous deep corrections. Our data shows that in the history of the stock, it has dropped by 30% or more exactly 5 times. While the current decline has not yet reached that 30% threshold, it is approaching the territory where these major historical events occurred.

When the stock enters these deeper drawdown phases, the recovery period tends to be prolonged. The average duration of comparable drops for this ticker is 668 days. Interestingly, the current drawdown has already persisted for 727 days as of May 26, 2026. This means the current cycle is already longer than the average duration of the most severe historical pullbacks we have recorded.

Analyzing the 727-Day Duration

The length of time an asset remains below its previous peak is a critical component of risk analysis. For LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB), the 727 days spent in the current drawdown as of May 26, 2026, suggests a persistent inability to reclaim the all-time high of $92.27. In the context of our 106 tracked drawdown events, the vast majority of pullbacks are resolved much faster, typically within the 46-day average.

The Drawdown Severity Score™ accounts for this time factor. A stock that remains in a drawdown for nearly two years experiences a different type of pressure than one undergoing a sharp but brief correction. Because the current duration has exceeded the 668-day average seen in comparable 30% drops, the data suggests this is one of the more enduring periods of price suppression in the stock's history.

Data Scope and Analysis Limits

Our analysis of LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) is based strictly on price and drawdown history. We use the Drawdown Severity Score™ to categorize the intensity of price movements relative to the stock's own past performance. This data-driven approach focuses on what the price has done and how long it has taken to do it, rather than why those movements occurred.

We do not incorporate outside variables such as corporate earnings, sector trends, or macroeconomic indicators into this specific drawdown profile. The figures provided, including the 25.2% drawdown and the 727-day duration, are objective measurements of market price action as of May 26, 2026. This analysis serves to provide context on where the stock sits within its own historical risk framework.

What to Watch in the Red Zone

As LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) remains in the red zone with a Drawdown Severity Score™ of 5.0, there are specific data markers that will indicate a change in the risk profile. The primary threshold to monitor is the 30% drawdown mark, which would occur if the price continues to decline. Historically, the stock has reached this level only 5 times.

Furthermore, we will monitor the duration of this event. Having already surpassed the 727-day mark as of May 26, 2026, any further extension of this timeline moves the stock deeper into an outlier territory compared to its 46-day average. A transition back to the yellow zone would require a sustained move in price toward the all-time high of $92.27, which would effectively lower the severity score and reduce the current 25.2% drawdown figure.