DuPont Is Down 9% in 136 Days. What History Says Now

DuPont Is Down 9% in 136 Days. Here Is What History Says

DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) is now down 9% from its all-time high as of July 7, 2026, having just exited the yellow zone after 136 days. The Drawdown Severity Score™ has improved to 1.9, placing the stock back in the green zone. In 102 comparable prior drops of 5% or more, the stock took an average of 111 days to resolve, indicating that the current recovery timeline is drawing out longer than the historical average.

DuPont's Return to the Green Zone

On July 7, 2026, DD crossed a specific threshold in its ongoing recovery process. The stock transitioned from the yellow zone, which represents elevated risk, to the green zone, indicating a stabilization in its overall drawdown profile. This transition is marked by a Drawdown Severity Score™ of 1.9, a score classified as "Slightly Elevated."

The shift to the green zone does not mean the stock has fully recovered, but rather that the intensity of the downward momentum has decreased. To put this in perspective, the stock closed at $139.15 on July 7, 2026, leaving it exactly 9.3% below its all-time high of $153.36. The green zone classification suggests that the mathematical risk of further immediate, severe deterioration has statistically lowered based on how the stock has behaved during similar recoveries in the past.

Our data shows that the transition out of the yellow zone is a critical phase in an asset's drawdown lifecycle. The yellow zone typically represents a period where a stock is experiencing heightened selling pressure that deviates from its normal baseline fluctuations. By descending back into the green zone with a severity score of 1.9, DD has demonstrated a stabilization in price action that aligns with historical patterns of stabilization, even though a 9.3% portion of the drawdown remains to be reclaimed.

The Anatomy of the 136-Day Drawdown

To understand the significance of the current 1.9 severity score, we must analyze the structure of this specific drawdown. This decline began 136 days prior to July 7, 2026, when the stock peaked at its all-time high of $153.36. Since that peak, the stock has experienced a maximum decline of 9.3% to reach its current price of $139.15.

When we compare these metrics to the historical baseline for DD, the unusual nature of this current cycle becomes clear. Across all 404 historical drawdown events recorded in our database, the average maximum drawdown for this stock is just -4.8%. The current drawdown of -9.3% is nearly double that historical average, indicating a much deeper correction than the stock typically undergoes during a standard market cycle.

The duration of this pullback is even more anomalous. The average drawdown duration for DD across its history is 34 days. At 136 days, the current decline has lasted exactly four times longer than the historical average. This prolonged duration explains why the stock spent an extended period in the yellow zone, as our model factors in both the depth and the time elapsed during a correction to determine the overall risk level.

Historical Comparison: How Prior Pullbacks Resolved

A key strength of our analytical framework is the ability to compare current market behavior with historical precedents. By examining the 404 drawdown events in the stock's history, we can isolate occurrences that match the characteristics of the current decline. Specifically, we look at instances where DD fell by 5% or more from its peak.

Our database shows that DD has dropped by 5% or more from its high 102 times. On average, these comparable drops of 5% or more took 111 days to resolve and return to their previous peaks. The current drawdown has already persisted for 136 days, which is 25 days longer than the historical average for comparable pullbacks.

This delay in recovery indicates that the current cycle is proving to be mathematically more stubborn than the typical 5% or greater correction. In past cycles, a decline of this magnitude would have likely resolved closer to the three-to-four-month mark. The fact that DD is still 9.3% below its peak after 136 days suggests that the path back to all-time highs is encountering more friction than is historically typical for this asset.

The table below outlines the divergence between a standard pullback and the current scenario:

This statistical breakdown highlights how the current event differs from the norm. While 302 of the stock's 404 historical drawdowns were minor fluctuations of less than 5% that resolved in under 34 days, the current event belongs to the more serious cohort of 102 deeper corrections.

Valuation Context: Price vs. Historical Multiples

As of the valuation snapshot date of 2026-07-06, the Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio for DD is 2.0, which sits in the 99th percentile of its own daily P/S record since 2006-07-03, compared to a historical median P/S of 0.26. Similarly, the EV-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio is 9.6, placing it in the 95th percentile of its own daily EV/EBITDA record since 2006-07-03, compared to its historical median of 4.4. This reveals that despite the stock being in a 136-day drawdown and 9.3% below its all-time high, its valuation multiples remain near the top of their historical ranges over the last two decades.

Data Limits and Methodology

This analysis is strictly data-only and relies exclusively on verified price, drawdown, severity, duration, and historical comparison data. We do not incorporate qualitative factors, such as company earnings, macroeconomic indicators, industry trends, or news events. The calculations and zone assignments are derived from the historical price action of DD relative to its own past trading behavior.

By focusing solely on price and drawdown history, this methodology provides an objective framework for assessing risk without the influence of market sentiment or narrative-driven explanations. The historical comparisons assume that past price behavior can provide context for current cycles, though every drawdown event possesses unique characteristics that may deviate from historical averages.

What to Watch: Key Severity Thresholds

As DD continues to trade in the green zone, several key mathematical thresholds will dictate whether the stock continues its recovery or slides back into a higher risk category.

To achieve a full recovery and bring the Drawdown Severity Score™ down to 0.0, DD must close the remaining 9.3% gap to its all-time high of $153.36. From the current price of $139.15, this requires a price appreciation of approximately 10.2%. If the stock achieves this, it will officially mark the end of this 136-day drawdown cycle.

On the downside, we are monitoring the levels that would trigger a return to the yellow zone. A slide in price that pushes the drawdown past the current -9.3% mark would likely cause the severity score to rise back above 2.0. In particular, a drop below $138.02 would represent a drawdown of 10% or more, moving the stock into double-digit correction territory. Historically, drawdowns that exceed 10% for DD have faced longer recovery timelines and higher volatility, making the 10% threshold a critical level to monitor.