Disney Is Down 48%. What History Says About This Slump

Disney’s 48% Drawdown: What History Says About the Current 1,800-Day Slump

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) continues to trade in the red zone as of May 17, 2026, with a current Drawdown Severity Score™ of 10.0. Our data shows the stock remains 48.3% below its all-time high of $198.60, marking a prolonged period of underperformance relative to its historical price peaks.

The Current State of the Disney Drawdown

As of May 17, 2026, the stock is priced at $102.72. This current price level represents a total drawdown of 48.3%, a figure that far exceeds the historical norms for this asset. According to our data, the average maximum drawdown for The Walt Disney Company (DIS) across its trading history is just -4.6%.

The duration of this decline is equally significant. We have tracked this specific drawdown for 1,836 days. When compared to the average drawdown duration of 55 days for this stock, the current five-year stretch highlights a persistent inability to reclaim previous valuation peaks. The Drawdown Severity Score™ of 10.0 places this event in the "Extreme" category, the highest risk tier in our tracking system.

Historical Context of 40% Declines

While The Walt Disney Company (DIS) has experienced 228 total drawdown events throughout its history, drops of this magnitude are rare. Our data shows that the stock has dropped by 40% or more only 4 times in its entire history. This small sample size suggests that the current environment is an outlier compared to the stock's typical behavior over several decades.

In these 4 comparable instances where the stock fell more than 40%, the average duration of the drawdown was 1,392 days. The current drawdown has already surpassed that historical average by more than 400 days. This indicates that the current recovery process is taking significantly longer than the few other extreme sell-offs recorded in our database.

Analyzing the Severity Score

The Drawdown Severity Score™ is our proprietary metric used to quantify the intensity of a price drop by weighing its depth against its duration and historical frequency. A score of 10.0 indicates that the stock is currently experiencing its most severe risk profile. Because the stock remains in the red zone, our data suggests it has yet to show the price velocity required to migrate into a less severe risk category.

The transition from the red zone back to the red zone confirms that while price fluctuations occur, the overall technical health of the stock has not improved enough to change its status. For the Drawdown Severity Score™ to decrease, we would need to see a sustained reduction in the 48.3% gap between the current price and the $198.60 all-time high.

Data Methodology and Scope

Our analysis of The Walt Disney Company (DIS) relies exclusively on verified price action, drawdown depth, and duration metrics. We do not incorporate fundamental data, earnings reports, or external market narratives into this assessment. This report is a reflection of how the current price compares to historical peaks and how this specific decline compares to the 228 other drawdown events in the company's history.

By focusing strictly on the Drawdown Severity Score™ and historical averages, we provide a mathematical framework for understanding risk. We do not make assumptions about future price movements or the causes behind the 1,836-day decline. The data simply shows where the stock sits today in relation to its own historical volatility standards.

Monitoring the Path to Recovery

To move out of the "Extreme" severity tier, The Walt Disney Company (DIS) must begin closing the 48.3% gap toward its all-time high. Investors tracking this ticker should monitor the Drawdown Severity Score™ for any shift toward the orange or yellow zones, which would indicate the drawdown is losing its historical intensity.

Until the stock breaks the 1,836-day cycle of lower highs relative to the $198.60 peak, it remains in a historically significant drawdown. We will continue to track whether this event extends further beyond the 1,392-day average seen in previous 40% drops or if the current $102.72 price level serves as a base for a zone change.